Entries about 'markets'

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The Great War Loan Conversion

Flooding the market with cash has not yet led to inflation, because the recession created a Grand Canyon of underutilized capacity to be filled first. When it is, though, expect inflation, and lower prices for long-term bonds. For a parallel situation, consider The Great War Loan Conversion, described in my Famous Financial Fiascos, where bond investors lost 99% of their money.

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What About the Stock Market?

Pre-election years are usually good for the stock market. The defending president pumps oxygen into the system to produce a rosy glow as the voters go to the polls. That’s politics though, not economics.

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Twelve Choruses of a Market Cycle

Major market cycles have a life of their own, like the ups and downs of a manic depressive patient. The choruses sung at each stage are not based on objective data. They are just rationalizations.

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